What was new on START Web site?
August, 2000
August 28, 2000
Russian nuclear submarine accident became a major news for the period of last two weeks. Press continues discussing possible reasons for "Kursk" sinking. There are still many questions and controversial points in official information about the accident, which creates a wide area for speculations. Eugene Miasnikov, START Web Site editor, said in an interview to Bergens Tidende, that existing facts suggest, that the accident began in fact on Friday, August 11, when the submarine sank for some unidentified reasons, and explosions, detected in Norway the next day, became the final of the tragedy ("Kursk" probably had an accident Friday, by Inge Sellevag, Bergens Tidende, August 23, 2000). Various versions of the accident are also discussed by experts:
- Those Who Alive Need To Know This! Submariners, who Survived the Accidents Speak, - in Russian, (by Sergei Ivanov, Sovetskaya Rossiya, August 25, 2000)
- An Attempt to Sink the Submarine Once More. Who Does Not Not Benefit by Telling the Truth About the "Kursk" Death?, - in Russian, (by Viktor Litovkin, Obschaya Gazeta, August 24, 2000)
- The Worst Did Not Happen. Our Fleet Did Not Respond. Though It Could, - in Russian, (by Vadim Chetverikov, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 23, 2000)
- There Is No Shortage In Versions, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Yermolin, Izvestiya, August 23, 2000)
- Who Rammed the "Kursk" Nuclear Submarine? - in Russian, (by Nickolay Cherkashin, Rossiiskaya Gazeta, August 22, 2000)
- Believing and Rescuing Until the Last Minute, (by Andrey Gavrilenko and Vladimir Gundarov, Krasnaya Zvezda, August 22, 2000)
- An interview with the Minister of Defense Marshal Sergeyev, - in Russian, "Vremya", Russian Public Television, August 21, 2000 (video)
- Vladimir Simonov: "Mobile Telephone" Would Not Help the Submariners, (by Vladimir Yermolin, Izvestiya, August 19, 2000)
- There Is Still A Hope, - in Russian, (by Valeri Aleksin, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 18, 2000) - an interview with Oleg Yerofeyev, former Commander of the Northern Fleet
- From the First Minutes "Kursk" Found Itself In A Disastrous Conditions, - in Russian, (by Tatyana Romanenkova, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 18, 2000) - an interview with Admiral Edward Baltin, former Commander of the Baltic Fleet
- Save Their Soles - in Russian, an opinion of Captain Second Rank, Kirill Bekasov
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Eugene Miasnikov's version is also supported by the fact, that the Norwegian research vessel "Marjata" who was present 15 nautical miles from the place "Kursk" went down observed a rescue operation taking place midday Saturday. See also the pictures taken by "Marjata" on Monday, August 14-th.
"Kursk" accident emphasizes the importance of limiting covert antisubmarine activity near submarine bases:
- Cold War Games, Dangerously Old, (by Joshua Handler, The Washington Post, Friday, August 25, 2000; Page A31)
- Atavism Of the Cold War, (Boris Usvyazov, Krasnaya Zvezda, August 23, 2000)
See also our special section on submarine collisions.
Preparations for salvage of "Kursk" is going to take years and it will require participation of other countries as well. Officials and experts state that there is no danger for radiation pollution of the Barents Sea, however environmentalists already raise alarms:
- «Opposition on Barents», - in Russian, (by Stanislav Tarasov, Wek, August 25, 2000)
- For Now, Experts Discount Radiation Peril From Sub, (by Kenneth Chang, The New York Times, August 25, 2000)
- Will There Be A Nuclear Disaster? Is "Kursk" Going to Be an Underwater Chernobyl? - in Russian, (by Alexander Kondrashov, Argumenty i Fakty, August 23, 2000)
- Three Scenarios for Kursk Reactors, (by Nils Bohmer, Bellona press release, August 21, 2000)
Rescue operation of "Kursk" clearly demonstrated the fact that the search and rescue service of the Russian Navy did not have appropriate technical means. However, this was not surprise at all for experts. Attached articles give some retrospective and explain existing capabilities to rescue a submarine and its crew (all papers are in Russian).
- Underwater Rescue Vehicles Of the Soviet and Russian Navies, (by Yu. Samko, Typhoon, 3 (15) 1999)
- On Rescue Equipment of Submariners, (by N. Kuryanik, Morskoi Sbornik, April, 1998)
- "Peculiarities" of the National Ship-Raising, (by A. Loskutov, Morskoi Sbornik, December, 1999)
- Project 940 Rescue Submarine, (by A. Postnov, Morskoi Sbornik, August, 1997)
- "Lenok" - Rescuer Of Submarines, (by V. Gundarov, Krasnaya Zvezda, October 20, 1995)
- Dying Submarine, (by A. Gavrilenko, Krasnaya Zvezda, December 19, 1995)
The detailed updates on "Kursk" accident were published by Komsomol'skaya Pravda, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, Izvestiya, Moskovskii Komsomolets, Novaya Gazeta and Russia Today. See also materials at the FAS and Center for Non-proliferation Studies web sites.
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The accident with "Kursk" raises concerns about security of the Russian nuclear arsenal. President Vladimir Putin ordered higher pay on Friday for workers in Russia's struggling nuclear sector in his latest handout to the military since the Kursk submarine disaster.
Press media continue discussing consequences of the Security Council decision on reforming the Armed Forces
- A Syndrome of Guilt. Kremlin confesses to the Russian nuclear workers, - in Russian, (by Larisa Kallioma, Izvestiya, August 26, 2000, p. 3)
- Putin ups Nuclear Sector Money After Sub Tragedy, (by Reuters, Russia Today, August 23, 2000)
- A Decree of the Russian Federation President of August 23, 2000, N 1563, on urgent measures for social support of specialists of the nuclear complex of the Russian Federation (in Russian)
- Russia's Insecurity Complex, (by Andrew Kuchins, The Washington Post, Monday, August 21, 2000; Page A21)
- The Kvashnin's Plan Or A Captivity?, - in Russian, (by Yevgeni Vertlib, Novaya Gazeta, August 21, 2000)
- Six "Linear" Candidates, (by Mikhail Kozyrev, Kommersant-Vlast', August 18, 2000)
- Rocketeers Rely On Americans, (by Victor Litovkin, Obschaya Gazeta, August 17, 2000)
- Security Council Agreed With General Staff Proposals, (by Andrey Korbut, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 15, 2000)
- Sergeyev - Kvashnin: A Draw Gained in A Clash, - in Russian, (by Pavel Felgenhauer, Moskovskiye Novosti, August 15-21, 2000)
- Is Russia Going to Retain Its Nuclear Shield?, - in Russian, (by Vasili Safranchuk, Sovetskaya Rossiya, August 15, 2000)
- Missile Carriers. How A One Branch Sensed Two Generals, - in Russian, (by Roman Shleynov, Novaya Gazeta, August 14, 2000)
- "Nobody Will Fracture Russia's Wings". Space Missile Defense Forces Will Be Subordinated To the Air Force, - in Russian, (by Svetlana Sukhova, Segodnya, August 14, 2000)
- Russia to Cut Its Nuclear Stockpile. Putin Decides to Shift Funds To Rebuild Conventional Forces, (by Daniel Williams, The Washington Post, Sunday, August 13, 2000; Page A16)
A long lost U.S. nuclear bomb probably lies on the seabed off Greenland near Thule air base
Commander of the Vladimir missile army Lieutenant-General Yuri Kirillov tells about problems of the military man: Russia Stands On Those People, (by Aleksander Dolinin, Krasnaya Zvezda, August 16, 2000)
- A Very Cold War. A Northern Country Is Drawn into Discussion, - in Russian, (Vremya Novostei, August 17, 2000)
- The Nuclear Bomb Which Did Not Explode Lies Near the Greenland's Shore, - in Russian, (Lenta.Ru, August 13, 2000)
- Lost U.S. Nuclear Bomb to Affect Talks on Greenland, (by Peter Starck, Reuters, August 13, 2000)
Elimination of Russian solid fuel ICBMs is becoming problematic: A Pause for the Terminator, (by Oleg Getmanenko and Dmitri Safronov, Novyye Izvestiya, August 26, 2000, p. 5)
Toward the 50-th anniversary of Zheleznogorsk (Krasnoyarsk-26): The Place, Where Nuclear Bombs Are Born, (by Lyubov Rak, Trud, August 16, 2000)
August 12, 2000
The Russian Security Council meeting on military reform lasted for four hours and ended Friday late afternoon. In the beginning of the meeting President Vladimir Putin told he wanted to draw a line under a damaging dispute over military reforms that could change the face of Russia’s armed forces and nuclear arsenal. However, no details on retirement of mobile missiles, creation of new weapons or shifts in resources were mentioned publicly. Experts assume, that the the decisions were more favorable to the Head of General Staff Anatoli Kvashnin rather than to Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev, though the latter vindicated inadmissibility of sharp quick reductions of the Strategic Rocket Forces.Before the Security Council meeting experts widely discussed possible outcomes:
- Diarhy in the Ministry of Defense Has Ended, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Tyomny, Vesti.Ru, August 11, 2000)
- Putin Has Not Fired Neither Sergeyev, Nor Kvashnin, (by Nikolay Petrov, Kommersant, August 12, 2000)
- Further Step Back Is Impossible, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Atlasov, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 12, 2000)
- Putin Moves to Resolve Military Dispute, (by Daniel Williams, The Washington Post, Saturday, August 12, 2000; Page A16)
- Putin Moves to End Public Military Squabbles, (by Reuters, The Moscow Times, August 12, 2000)
- Destiny Of the Russian Military Forces Is Resolved, But All Are Silent About It, - in Russian, (SMI.Ru, August 12, 2000)
- Text of Vladimir Putin Remarks at the Security Council Meeting, - in Russian, August 12, 2000
Director of the US and Canada Institute Sergey Rogov argues on future of nuclear deterrence, prospects for further strategic arms reductions and ABM Treaty: Counting On A Nuclear Shield, - in Russian, (Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, N 28, August 4-10, 2000)
- Security Council Eats the Sweet Pair, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Tyomny, Vesti.Ru, August 12, 2000)
- Security Council Will Settle the Dispute Between Sergeyev And Kvashnin, (by Mikhail Kozyrev, Kommersant, August 11, 2000) - an interview with former Deputy Defense Minister and former Security Council Secretary Andrey Kokoshin, currently - a Member of the State Duma
- Kremlin Set to Discuss Future of Armed Forces, (by Martin Nesirky, The Moscow Times, August 11, 2000)
- Russia Security Council to Meet on Military Changes, (by Reuters, Russia Today, August 11, 2000)
- Putin to Mediate Russia's Nuclear Weapons Row, (by Agence France Presse, Russia Today, August 11, 2000)
- Russia To Cut Nuclear Missiles, Merge Forces Says Source, (by Reuters, Russia Today, August 11, 2000)
- The Marshal No Longer Writes To Anybody. The Affair in the Defense Ministry Is Coming to A Head, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Yermolin, Izvestiya, August 12, 2000, p. 3)
- The Future Of Russia's Nuclear Arsenal, (by Nikolai Sokov, The Boston Globe, August 9, 2000, Pg.23)
- The Meeting Will Take Place In Any Weather. But the "Missile Crises" Is Not Going To Be Resolved, - in Russian, (by Arkady Babchenko, Moskovskii Komsomolets, August 9, 2000)
- The War in the Defense Ministry Is Becoming More Acute, - in Russian, (by Pavel Felgenhauer, Moskovskiye Novosti, N 31 (1049), August 8 - 14, 2000)
- A Change Of A Cuckoo For A Hawk - in Russian, (by Dmitri Koptev, Izvestiya, August 5, 2000, p. 3)
- President Sharply Changes the Course Of the Military Reforming, - in Russian, (by Vadim Solovyov and Vladimir Atlasov, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, N 28, August 4-10, 2000)
- A General's Outcome, (by Nikolay Poroskov, Vek, N 31, August 4-11, 2000, p. 4)
A highly classified intelligence report warns that deploying an American national missile defense could prompt China to expand its nuclear arsenal tenfold and lead Russia to place multiple warheads on ballistic missiles that now carry only one:
- NMD Is Questionable, - in Russian (by Nikolay Zimin, Segodnya, August 11, 2000)
- Study Sees Possible China Nuclear Buildup, (by Roberto Suro, The Washington Post, August 10, 2000 Pg. 2)
- U.S. Missile Plan Could Reportedly Provoke China, (by Steven Lee Myers, The New York Times, August 10, 2000)
Responding to a congressional mandate, the Clinton administration promised to have a limited anti-missile system ready by 2005, when North Korea could be able to launch warheads at the American heartland, according to U.S. estimates. Until now the Pentagon has insisted that meeting the deadline was feasible, though a "high risk" proposition. Top officials are now warning for the first time that it may be impossible to get the system ready in time:
- 2005 Missile Defense Inception Is at Risk, (by Roberto Suro, The Washington Post, Wednesday, August 9, 2000; Page A04)
- Cohen Delays His Finding On Building Missile Radar, (by Steven Lee Myers, The New York Times, August 8, 2000)
- Cohen May Back Steps On Missile Defense, (by Thomas E. Ricks, The Washington Post, August 6, 2000, Pg. 1)
It's the most contentious national security debate since the Cold War: whether or not to build a $60 billion missile defense system involving technologies so sophisticated that some haven't even been invented. For two key players in the debate - outspoken Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor Ted Postol and White House Chief of Staff John Podesta - it's also an exercise that has degenerated into name-calling. ''I must say that the overall impression you leave from your correspondence,'' said Podesta in a handwritten response last week to Postol's drubbing of the administration's antimissile plan, ''is that your brilliance is only exceeded by your arrogance.'' Insulted, Postol fired right back with sarcasm: ''I do not rule out that I could be wrong - I am not so arrogant to deny that possibility - and that there is some subtle point of basic science ... known only to you and your advisors, but not to Nobel laureates.''
- Tiff Between White House, MIT Professor Gets Personal, (by David Abel, The Boston Globe, August 9, 2000)
- The Countermeasures Debate, (by James T. Hackett, The Washington Times, August 9, 2000)
"...One day top Russian officials suggest that modest changes in the ABM Treaty can be negotiated to enable deployment of a very limited system; on another different officials insist that the treaty is non-negotiable; and on a third President Putin himself proposes a program of joint, cooperative missile defense with Europe and the United States. It all smacks of tactical maneuvering in the absence of a strategic vision about where Putin wants to go..." (What's Putin Up to on NMD?, by Ivo H. Daalder and James M. Goldgeier, Brookings Institution, July 28, 2000)
Analysts comment on recommendation of British parliamentary committee to the UK government to persuade the U.S. refraining with NMD deployment:
See also:
- Common Wisdom on NMD, (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Proliferation Brief, Vol.3, No.23, August 9, 2000)
- U.K. Committee Slams NMD, (BASIC Press Release, 2 August 2000)
- Missile Defense Is Mostly About Politics, Not National Security, (by Robert A. Levine, International Herald Tribune, August 9, 2000)
- On Balance, Negotiated Arms Control Is Preferable, (by Frederick Bonnart, International Herald Tribune, August 9, 2000)
A meeting of Minatom, Ministry of Emergency Situations, the State Nuclear Inspectorate and Russian Academy of Sciences representatives in Ozyorsk concluded to stop burial in Karachay lake and begin its backing: A Report With A Dosimeter. The Lake Of Death, - in Russian, (by Iolanta Kachayeva, Trud, August 11, 2000)
At the Russian START Forum: tritium in nuclear warheads, discussion of Nikolay Sokov's article on evolution of Russian strategic forces, alternatives for the SRF development and other issues.
August 3, 2000
The paper by Anatoli Diakov, Timur Kadyshev and Pavel Podvig Current Nuclear Balance and National Security, (The PIR Study Papers , N 14, May, 2000) is now available on-line (in Russian).President Putin had sacked a group of generals allied with Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev, reportedly strengthening the hand of the minister’s bitter rival, General Anatoly Kvashnin. Military analysts see the move as a pretext to ditch both and name a civilian to run the Defense Ministry:
- The Defense Is Strong, When It Is Faithful, - in Russian, (by Roman Shleynov, Novaya Gazeta, August 3, 2000)
- The Civilian Face Of the Defense Minister, - in Russian, (by Alexander Agamov, Utro.Ru, August 3, 2000)
- Kvashnin Has Not Won Yet, - in Russian, (by Andrey Tsunski, Vesti.Ru, August 2, 2000)
- Putin Tries Big Shift In Military Strategy, (by Fred Weir, The Christian Science Monitor, August 2, 2000)
- Defense Minister’s Job Seen on the Line, (by Martin Nesirky, The Moscow Times, August 2, 2000)
- Is the President Changing The Military Leadership?, - in Russian, (by Vadim Solovyov, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 1, 2000)
- The Supreme Commander Has Chosen Anatoli Kvashnin, - in Russian, (by Pyotr Akopov, Izvestiya, August 1, 2000)
- A Major Cleaning, - in Russian, (by Alexander Shaburkin, Vremya MN, August 1, 2000)
- A Military Rank - A Pensioner, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnya, August 1, 2000)
- Putin Fires 6 Generals. Step May Weaken Defense Chief, (by David Hoffman, The Washington Post, Tuesday, August 1, 2000; Page A20)
- Putin fires six generals as military leaders feud, (by Brian Whitmore, The Boston Globe, August 1, 2000)
- Putin fires top-ranking generals for favouring increased reliance on nuclear forces, (by Rupert Cornwell, The Independent, August 1, 2000)
- Russia's Putin Sacks Six Senior Generals, (by Reuters, Russia Today, August 1, 2000)
- Putin Sacks 6 of Sergeyev’s Generals, (by Simon Saradzhyan, The Moscow Times, August 1, 2000)
- The Third Is The Best One, - in Russian, (Profil', N 29, July 31, 2000)
- Sergeyev and Kvashnin Quarrelled Over Money, - in Russian, (by Vladislav Shurygin, APN, July 28, 2000)
Colonel-General Nikolay Solovtsov, the Head of the Strategic Rocket Forces Military Academy comments on Kvashnin's plan to reform military forces: Missile Crises, - in Russian, (Sovyetskaya Rossiya, July 22, 2000)
A British parliamentary committee Wednesday expressed serious concerns about U.S. plans to build a National Missile Defense and said Washington ''cannot necessarily assume unqualified cooperation'' from its closest ally.
See also:
- U.K. Panel Questions U.S. Missile Shield Plans, (by Tom Buerkle, International Herald Tribune, August 3, 2000)
- Westminster Backlash Over 'Son Of Star Wars', (by Christopher Lockwood, London Daily Telegraph, August 3, 2000)
- Is London Going To Support Moscow In A Dispute With Washington?, - in Russian, (by Dmitry Gornostayev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, August 3, 2000)
- Opposition, - in Russian, (by Alexander Velichenkov, Rossiiskaya Gazeta, August 2, 2000)
- Missile Defense Is A Pipe Dream, (by Philipp C. Bleek, The Boston Globe, August 2, 2000, Pg. 23)
Russian Foreign Ministry made a statement in relation with U.S. preparations to deploy B-2 strategic bombers in the U.K. (in Russian). See also: "Spirits" Will Fly To England, - in Russian, (by Gennadi Nechayev, Vesti.Ru, August 1, 2000)
The Canadian government plans to fly in a small test amount of Russian plutonium to burn in a nuclear reactor, with the goal of eventually helping Russia with its disarmament program: Canada to Aid Disarmament By Burning MOX Plutonium, (by By Randall Palmer, The Moscow Times, August 1, 2000)
At the Russian START Forum: effectiveness of the air leg of the Russian nuclear forces and alternatives of the SRF development.
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